InfoWARE AI Analyst Weekly Market Report: 28-Mar-2025 | InfoWARE Finance
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InfoWARE AI Analyst Weekly Market Report: 28-Mar-2025
(Source: InfoWARE Terminal, Date: 28-Mar-2025)
NGX Market Summary - Friday, March 28, 2025
The NGX All-Share Index eked out a 0.23% gain to close at 105,426.12, though market breadth remained weak at 0.68x with 25 advancers vs 37 decliners. Notably, turnover surged 47% to ?12.83B despite the tepid price action, suggesting institutional repositioning ahead of quarter-end.
Key Observations
- Extreme Momentum: ABBEYBDS (+10%) shows RSI 97.4 (severely overbought) while AFRIPRUD (-10%) sits at RSI 23.8 (oversold)
- Volume Anomaly: MBENEFIT saw 14,794% surge vs 90D avg volume amid 72% YTD gains
- Institutional Focus: Banks dominated institutional flows (72% of value) with GTCO capturing 26% of institutional trade value
Contrarian Signals
| Stock | YTD % | RSI | MACD Signal | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROYALEX | -4.55% | 59.5 | Bullish Crossover | Div yield 7.8% with improving technicals |
| CADBURY | +45.6% | 60.4 | Bearish MACD | EPS 0.64 vs PE 33.25 suggests rich valuation |
Sector Heatmap
| Sector | Performance | Institutional Activity | Technical Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | ?1.2% | 72% of value | Mixed (GTCO bullish vs ZENITHBANK bearish) |
| Insurance | ?3.8% | 18% of volume | Overbought (MBENEFIT RSI 100) |
Dividend-Beta Matrix
| Stock | Yield | Beta | Opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFRIPRUD | 1.27% | 0.64 | Defensive play |
| DANGSUGAR | 4.27% | 1.35 | High risk income |
Institutional Clustering
ZENITHBANK shows concentrated institutional interest with 20.17% trade value share despite -1.7% price decline, suggesting potential accumulation.
Trader's Playbook
- Opportunity: Mean reversion in AFRIPRUD (RSI 23.8, -59% MTD)
- Caution: Profit-taking risk in ABBEYBDS (RSI 97.4, 57% YTD)
- Pairs Trade: Long GTCO (RSI 64)/Short ZENITHBANK (RSI 48)
Market Activity Insights
| Metric | Retail | Institutional |
|---|---|---|
| Trade Count | 86.96% | 13.04% |
| Value Contribution | 6.6% | 93.4% |
Notable Divergence: While retail traders focused on low-price stocks like UNIVINSURE (?0.60), institutions drove GTCO's 7.08% rally with ?4.57B in trades.
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InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 28-Mar-2025
InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 28-Mar-2025
InfoWARE AI Analyst Weekly Market Report: 28-Mar-2025
Chart Of The Day - ASI Chart Vs ASI Advance Decline Line (YTD) (28-Mar-2025 15:07:49.477)
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